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The Dangers of Listening to “Forecasters”

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Hey friend,

The latest CPI inflation report came in at consensus on certain timeframes and below consensus on others.

The market’s initial reaction has been sharply negative for most indexes (except the Nasdaq) – but we’ll have to see how it plays out over the next few days.

The Daily Direction

Note: Indexes closed mixed yesterday ahead of today’s inflation report. With the initial negative reaction to the inflation data, the Dow’s short-term direction flipped downward.

The Daily Nugget

Be very careful of market “forecasters”.

Too many forecasters don’t have actual skin in the game – so they can keep spouting off with no consequence.

You have the permabears who predict a market crash and recession twice a year…

The naive optimists who say the market can only keep going up…

And the empty suits who just say what they think the audience wants to hear.

Be very careful about listening to these “forecasters”.

More often than not, their information isn’t any better than just skimming the news headlines.

This is not to say there aren’t groups of traders out there with superior information.

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